Economic data for ’21 continues to trickle in. Houston set a record for job growth, 在大流行早期阶段失去的就业岗位几乎全部恢复. 该地区机场的客运量逐渐恢复正常. 建筑活动有所回升,但仍低于大流行前的水平. 油价和钻井平台数量均高于年初水平. 出口回升. 首页 sales set a record. Inflation surged to levels not seen in 20 years. Sales tax collections rebounded. Vehicle sales recovered from their pandemic lows. 紧张的当地劳动力市场使失业率回到了疫情前的水平. 本期《Hga010皇冠软件下载》对休斯顿经济各部门在21年的表现进行了广泛的事后分析
21年将是休斯顿有史以来就业增长最好的一年. The region created 151,800 jobs, a 5.1 percent increase over ’20. 在21年之前,最好的年份是1981年,当时该地区创造了12.69万个就业岗位. 在疫情早期失去的36.14万个工作岗位中,休斯顿现在已经恢复了31.67万个.
Several sectors added 10,000 or more jobs last year—restaurants and bars (19,500), 专业, scientific and technical services (15,900), health care and social assistance (15,700), transportation and warehousing (14,800), administrative and support services (14,400), 其他服务(13),700), and mining and logging, primarily oil and gas, (11,700). The demise of traditional retail has been over-exaggerated. 该行业去年增加了9800个就业岗位,是过去30年来的第二大增幅.
Only a handful of subsectors—chemicals, machinery 制造业, merchant wholesalers, 公共教育, and telecommunications—reported job losses in ’21. Those losses were more than offset by gains elsewhere.
阻碍经济全面复苏的四个行业最近出现了好转. 作为一个群体, 皇冠HGA010官方下载, 建设, 制造业, and wholesale trade added 31,400个工作岗位, one in every five created in Houston last year. Now that growth has resumed for those four, 到年中,休斯顿的就业水平应该会恢复到大流行前的水平.
请注意,21年的就业数据是初步的. 更准确的就业数据将于3月中旬公布.S. 美国劳工统计局(BLS)发布了今年的基准修订数据. 劳工统计局每月发布的报告是基于雇主样本的, 受访者被选中代表他们的行业. The March revisions will be based on administrative records, 具体来说,美国每家公司有多少员工享受失业保险.S. 这个方法, though cumbersome to collect and analyze, 提供更准确的年度损益情况.
The revisions could be substantial. BLS has been off by as many as 50,000 jobs in the past. Reductions of that magnitude are highly unlikely this time, 但如果劳工统计局高估了当地的就业增长,人们也不应该感到惊讶. The Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, 使用就业及工资季度普查的数据, estimates Houston created 131,21年有400个工作岗位. That would still set a record for job growth in Houston. 在经历了该地区历史上最严重的经济衰退之后, 这将凸显休斯顿经济的整体弹性.
2022年拖累休斯顿经济增长的潜在因素将是劳动力. 雇主找不到足够的工人来填补所有的空缺职位. 首席执行官们, 招聘经理, and business owners lament that they could build, 制造, and sell more if they could hire more workers. If Houston can expand its workforce through in-migration, residents coming out of retirement, or dropouts re-entering the job market, employment growth could exceed the 75,500美元 Partnership’s forecast for ’22.
一些外部因素也可能影响2022年的经济增长. 对美联储(fed)今年将加息4至6次的预期,已经在金融市场造成了波动. 更高的利率可能会迫使企业重新考虑投资和人员配置决策. 对通货膨胀的担忧已经开始影响消费者信心. 俄罗斯入侵乌克兰或中国大陆与台湾的紧张关系升级,都可能扰乱全球经济增长. 不要排除又一波新冠疫情的可能性. For now, though, Houston’s outlook remains robust.
The Houston Airport System (HAS) handled 45.0 million passengers in ’21, nearly double the 22.前一年的客运量为300万人次,但仍远低于2019年的近6000万人次.
Early in the pandemic, HAS traffic fell by over 95 percent. 在21年有数据可查的最近三个月里(10月), November and December), traffic was only down 12 percent. Though the Omicron surge has slowed the recovery, 预计客运量增长将在当前浪潮消退后尽快恢复.
几个因素导致了交通被压抑的休闲需求的增长, robust domestic travel, flourishing travel to Mexico, and improving demand in long haul international markets.
HAS earned two major accolades in ’21. 威廉·P. 霍比机场是北美第一个获得Skytrax五星评级的机场. 这家总部位于伦敦的机构自1999年以来一直对机场的产品和服务质量进行评级. 霍比机场是世界上14个获得五星评级的机场之一. 乔治布什洲际酒店连续第五年获得四星评级.
Rail car loadings serve as a proxy for U.S. 化学品生产,其中大部分集中在德克萨斯州墨西哥湾沿岸. U.S. 铁路处理1.7 million chemical rail cars in ’21, up 5.比20年下降了6%.
Through the first 11 months of ’21, 通过休斯顿/加尔维斯顿海关区出口的化学品达到22个.3 mil-lion metric tons, a 4.9 percent increase over ’20. 尽管该行业在21年2月的冻结期间受到了损害,但货运量仍有所上升. Exports of plastics, however, fell from 8.3 to 6.在冻结之前就开始下降了,这只会让事情变得更糟.
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注:本出版物中所指的地理区域为“休斯顿”,“休斯顿地区”和“休斯顿大都会”是人口普查指定的休斯顿-伍德兰-糖地的九个县都市统计区, TX. The nine counties are: Austin, Brazoria, 钱伯斯, 本德堡, 加尔维斯顿, 哈里斯, 自由, Montgomery and Waller.